Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 4
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
AJA
7 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
ADO
1 - 0
TEL
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
VOL
2 - 3
ADO
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ADO
4 - 0
DWS
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ADO
3 - 0
AZA
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
GAE
3 - 0
ADO
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |