Excelsior Virton vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OUD
3 - 0
EXC
60%
20%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EEA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 3
KNO
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VWH
0 - 3
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DEI
4 - 0
VWH
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VWH
1 - 2
SER
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VWH
0 - 3
KNO
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DEN
3 - 1
VWH
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |