Excelsior Virton vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OOS
1 - 2
EXC
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
PAT
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
BEE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VWH
1 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
COX
1 - 5
VWH
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VWH
1 - 3
DES
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VWH
4 - 1
SPR
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
1 - 1
VWH
43%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |