Excelsior Virton vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CER
2 - 2
EXC
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GEE
0 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ANT
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COX
3 - 3
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
DEI
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
WSW
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
COX
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
LOM
3 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
TUB
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |