Excelsior Virton vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAT
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 4
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
LAL
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
GRI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 0
BXB
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BXB
2 - 0
UNI
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 1
UNI
73%
17%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 1
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 1
UNI
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |