Excelsior Virton vs Tournai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
5º
4º
5
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 40 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 38 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 35 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 33 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 31 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 25 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
79% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
OLY
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 2
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 0
STO
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
EXC
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tournai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
TOU
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
SGI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
TOU
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
TUB
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
TOU
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |