Excelsior Virton vs Tournai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TIE
1 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 0
NAM
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
OOS
7 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LIE
1 - 1
EXC
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tournai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TOU
0 - 0
BRU
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STR
2 - 1
TOU
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
TOU
1 - 2
KSK
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LIE
0 - 0
TOU
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TOU
2 - 0
RON
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |