Excelsior Virton vs Stockay-Warfusée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
5º
9
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 43 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 38 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 28 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 28 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 27 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 26 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 24 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
54% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
EXC
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
3 - 1
EXC
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNF
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
4 - 0
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stockay-Warfusée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STO
5 - 1
NAM
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
STO
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STO
4 - 1
BEL
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
4 - 1
STO
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VER
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |