Excelsior Virton vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
19
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEE
3 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEI
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
LOM
3 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
3 - 0
STL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
DEI
4 - 1
STL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STL
1 - 4
RWD
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |