Excelsior Virton vs Châtelet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 2
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 0
VWH
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OUD
3 - 0
EXC
60%
20%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
LOM
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
KNO
6 - 3
SPO
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
PAT
65%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OOS
1 - 1
SPO
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
EEA
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |