Excelsior Virton vs Sint-Truidense VV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KSK
0 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
RON
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
KVS
3 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIE
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
DEI
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
STR
1 - 0
BRU
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KSK
1 - 5
STR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RON
1 - 5
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
STR
1 - 0
RSW
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
KVS
0 - 1
STR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |