Excelsior Virton vs Ronse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GEA
1 - 0
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
EXC
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLS
1 - 5
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEI
0 - 3
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ronse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
RON
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RON
0 - 5
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OUD
2 - 0
RON
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RON
5 - 0
COX
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 0
RON
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |