Excelsior Virton vs Oudenaarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GEE
0 - 3
EXC
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 3
LIE
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 4
DES
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OUD
1 - 1
WSW
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
OUD
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GIV
0 - 1
OUD
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
OUD
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
RON
0 - 1
OUD
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |