Excelsior Virton vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 1
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BXB
1 - 3
EXC
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 0
WOL
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DIE
3 - 2
EXC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
KVK
2 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAM
1 - 4
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 0
NAM
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAM
3 - 0
GRI
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 0
NAM
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NAM
0 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |