Excelsior Virton vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
OOS
7 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LIE
1 - 1
EXC
39%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VWH
2 - 5
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
OLY
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NAM
0 - 5
BRU
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
STR
4 - 1
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NAM
0 - 3
KSK
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RON
1 - 1
NAM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 2
LIE
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |