Excelsior Virton vs Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GEE
2 - 1
EXC
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
HEI
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
EEA
3 - 0
EXC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
ANT
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DES
2 - 2
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 1
VIS
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LOM
3 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
TUB
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
EUP
0 - 1
MOU
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HOO
0 - 4
MOU
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |