Excelsior Virton vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BEE
1 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
KVC
20%
25%
56%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
KSV
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
EXC
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 1
LEU
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
LOM
3 - 2
LEU
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KSV
3 - 1
LOM
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LOM
0 - 0
UNI
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 1
LOM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
LOM
1 - 0
BEE
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |