Excelsior Virton vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
WAA
3 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
DEI
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MOU
2 - 1
EXC
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LOM
3 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
RWD
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
DEI
1 - 2
KVC
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
KVC
2 - 1
WAA
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
KVC
1 - 0
MOU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
KVC
0 - 3
DEI
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
KVC
3 - 0
LOM
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |