Excelsior Virton vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
WSB
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
STR
3 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
5 - 0
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LOM
1 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 2
BEE
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 4
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 3
LOM
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 0
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 1
KSV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |