Excelsior Virton vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
EEA
3 - 0
EXC
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
ANT
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DES
2 - 2
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
WSB
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
KSV
2 - 0
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 1
VIS
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LOM
0 - 0
HEI
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 6
TUB
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EUP
5 - 1
HEI
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 2
MOU
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |