Excelsior Virton vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 3
DEI
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VWH
0 - 0
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GEE
3 - 0
LOM
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GEE
2 - 0
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DEI
2 - 1
GEE
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 3
HEI
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
GEE
2 - 3
GEN
6%
14%
81%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | -1 |