Excelsior Virton vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
COX
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEI
2 - 1
EXC
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
KSV
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LOM
4 - 1
EXC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
GEE
1 - 1
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GEE
2 - 2
DEI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
GEE
38%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GEE
2 - 2
COX
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CER
3 - 3
GEE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |