Excelsior Virton vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
EEA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
DES
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WSB
1 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GEE
1 - 1
VIS
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOM
0 - 0
GEE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GEE
1 - 2
TUB
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GEE
0 - 1
LOK
11%
18%
72%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EUP
4 - 2
GEE
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |