Excelsior Virton vs Dessel Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EUP
2 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CER
2 - 2
EXC
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GEE
0 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ANT
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dessel Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
DEI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 2
DES
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 2
GEE
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COX
0 - 1
DES
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DES
4 - 0
PAT
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |