Excelsior Virton vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
VER
1 - 3
EXC
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 2
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 3
OUD
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COX
0 - 5
EXC
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
MOU
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
TIE
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
EEA
0 - 0
DEN
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 1
CHA
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 3
DEN
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
TUB
1 - 1
DEN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |