Excelsior Virton vs Deinze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
6º
4º
47
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
KRC
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRG
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 3
RSC
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DEN
3 - 4
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deinze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 3
KRC
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DEI
2 - 3
RSC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
DEI
18%
24%
57%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
DEI
2 - 1
BRG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RWD
2 - 1
DEI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |