Excelsior Virton vs BX Brussels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 0
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
WOL
0 - 3
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 1
LAC
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CIN
0 - 7
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BX Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BXB
0 - 3
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GEA
3 - 0
BXB
67%
19%
13%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BXB
1 - 4
WOL
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 0
BXB
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BXB
1 - 0
CIN
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +3 |