Excelsior Virton vs Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
STA
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 2
EXC
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
WSW
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
SDL
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BOC
5 - 3
SIN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BER
3 - 0
BOC
19%
22%
60%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
RCS
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 2
BOC
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BOC
4 - 1
OOS
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |