Excelsior Virton vs Bertrix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TIE
1 - 1
EXC
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
VER
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 5
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bertrix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BER
5 - 5
BXB
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
DEN
6 - 1
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAC
2 - 2
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
BER
56%
21%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BER
3 - 3
CIN
32%
23%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |