Excelsior Virton vs Berchem Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LOM
6 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
PAT
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DEI
0 - 3
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
OOS
2 - 3
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Berchem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BER
1 - 3
GEE
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
KNO
4 - 2
BER
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
HEI
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |