Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
OUD
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GEE
0 - 3
EXC
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 3
LIE
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
1 - 1
VWH
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
2 - 1
PAT
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 2
BEE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BEE
1 - 2
CER
18%
21%
62%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BEE
3 - 3
VWH
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |