Excelsior Virton vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 2
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
DES
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
EEA
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEU
1 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EUP
2 - 1
LOM
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 3
EUP
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EUP
1 - 1
KSV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 4
EUP
17%
24%
60%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
EUP
1 - 1
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -2 |