Excelsior Virton U21 vs Lommel SK U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
10º
24
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
ASE
1 - 0
EXV
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
EXV
8 - 1
FCV
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 3
EXV
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAS
2 - 0
EXV
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EXV
1 - 4
RBR
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lommel SK U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
LOM
0 - 2
STR
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
OOS
3 - 2
LOM
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WES
3 - 5
LOM
65%
17%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LOM
5 - 3
DNZ
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 2
LOM
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |