Excelsior Virton U21 vs Lierse Kempenzonen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
10º
20
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
EXV
4 - 8
OOS
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
EXV
2 - 1
WAS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
WES
4 - 4
EXV
56%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
EXV
1 - 1
STR
22%
20%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
RBR
3 - 1
EXV
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 1
RBR
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
5 - 2
LIE
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
WES
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
DNZ
2 - 0
LIE
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 3
LOM
45%
21%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |