Excelsior Sub 21 vs De Graafschap Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
APB
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
EMM
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
3 - 2
EXC
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
VIT
64%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
ROD
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EMM
1 - 2
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
6 - 0
VIT
70%
16%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 1
APB
64%
18%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |