Excelsior U21 vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
EXC
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 0
CAM
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
4 - 2
ROD
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCE
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ROD
5 - 0
GRA
19%
20%
62%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -4 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
HEL
93%
5%
2%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
GRA
20%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 3
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |