Excelsior U18 vs Sparta Rotterdam Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ADO
0 - 4
EXC
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
PEZ
53%
20%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
THS
43%
21%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPR
4 - 2
EXC
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EXC
4 - 1
CAM
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPR
3 - 0
FCE
56%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PEZ
1 - 1
SPR
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPR
4 - 2
EXC
43%
21%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HRV
2 - 1
SPR
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 2
PEZ
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |