Excelsior Sub 18 vs ADO Den Haag Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
8º
8º
21
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
19%
18%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAM
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 0
APB
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FDB
2 - 1
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 3
PEZ
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 2
ADO
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 4
FEY
22%
19%
60%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AZK
3 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
GRA
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |