Excelsior Mouscron vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 0
STR
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 0
LOM
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
5 - 2
GNK
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
SDL
1 - 3
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
MOL
2 - 1
SDL
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SDL
6 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
KVC
1 - 2
SDL
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
SDL
2 - 1
LOM
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |