Excelsior Mouscron vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
GNK
0 - 0
EXC
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
EXC
5 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LIE
1 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 4
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SDL
3 - 1
LOM
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
EEA
1 - 2
SDL
30%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
SDL
3 - 1
KVM
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 2
SDL
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SDL
2 - 1
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |