Excelsior Mouscron vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 3
GNK
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 1
FYL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ANT
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
ANT
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 1
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
3 - 3
SDL
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
KVM
1 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
4 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -2 |