Excelsior Mouscron vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
5 - 0
GNK
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
KVC
73%
16%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
KVM
1 - 3
EXC
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 3
KFC
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 4
SDL
20%
23%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GNK
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 2
GEN
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
KVC
1 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |