Excelsior Mouscron vs Sint-Truidense VV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
EEA
2 - 5
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 1
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
LOK
3 - 2
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
BRU
1 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
STR
2 - 0
LOM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
LIE
0 - 0
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
STR
0 - 2
KSK
68%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
STR
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |