Excelsior Mouscron vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
BRU
2 - 2
EXC
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
EXC
0 - 0
RAA
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
SDL
3 - 3
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
LOK
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
KVM
3 - 3
GEN
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
GNK
3 - 1
KVM
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
LIE
1 - 1
KVM
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
KVM
0 - 2
AND
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ANT
3 - 1
KVM
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |