Excelsior Mouscron vs KFC Lommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
5 - 2
GNK
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
6 - 1
EEA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
BRU
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 1
MOL
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
LOM
0 - 1
STR
52%
23%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MOL
0 - 1
LOM
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
SDL
2 - 1
LOM
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
3 - 0
LOM
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
LOM
67%
18%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |