Excelsior Mouscron vs KFC Lommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
STR
0 - 2
EXC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
GNK
0 - 2
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIE
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
MOL
2 - 1
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
ANT
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LOM
2 - 1
KSK
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
BRE
2 - 1
LOM
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
LOM
1 - 3
BRE
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
FTK
1 - 2
LOM
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
LOM
0 - 1
FTK
36%
23%
42%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |