Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
HAR
0 - 4
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
AND
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOM
2 - 3
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
5 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 2
EKE
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
LOK
4 - 3
KSK
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOK
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOK
2 - 1
KVK
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GNK
3 - 1
LOK
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GEN
2 - 1
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |