Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LIE
3 - 3
EXC
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZUL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GNK
3 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
AAB
2 - 1
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 1
AAB
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
CLI
0 - 4
GEN
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 0
CLI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
KVC
1 - 1
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |