Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 1
OOS
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1999 |
LIE
1 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
EXC
5 - 1
LOK
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
HAR
0 - 4
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
GEN
4 - 1
KSK
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 1
GEN
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 1
KVK
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
GNK
1 - 0
GEN
67%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
EEA
0 - 2
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |