Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AND
2 - 0
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RWD
2 - 1
EXC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
5 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
6 - 0
CER
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
GNK
2 - 1
AND
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GNK
3 - 1
RWD
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
GNK
2 - 1
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
GNK
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GNK
3 - 0
LIE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |